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I saw a remarkable claim in connection with the structural failure at the 219 & 235 East 42nd St, NYC buildings that's been in the news this week. There's a geotechnical engineer (with the firm Foundation Testing & Consulting in Overland Park, KS) whose YouTube channel I've noticed in the past, but I've never watched his videos until this one, about the failure:
At 01m:00s in the video, he mentions having been sent a "satellite evaluation" of the movement of one of those buildings, from the company Value.Space: https://www.value.space/
He says they've supported a number of his videos in the past. He states that Value.Space uses the European Space Agency's Sentinel-1 & Sentinel-2 satellites.
The Sentinel-1 satellites are radar imaging satellites with 5-meter resolution: https://www.eoportal.org/satellite-missions/copernicus-sentinel-1
The Sentinel-2 satellites are visible/ infrared imaging satellites with 10-meter resolution: https://www.eoportal.org/satellite-missions/copernicus-sentinel-2
Neither comes close to what you'd expect for deformation monitoring.
Even if the YouTuber is confused about various families of satellites and their capabilities, the interesting part starts at 16m:20s, when he shows some slides provided by Value.Space. They claim that certain points on the 235 E. 42nd building, prior to this new construction, had seasonal "peak-to-peak swings" of as much as "+- 0.6 mm" and that the building had "average seasonal movement of +- 1 mm/y". They claim that after the start of the new construction, there were seasonal movements in the range of 10 to 21 mm.
Value.Space's website is pretty much devoid of technical detail. Lloyd's (of London) had some involvement and indicates that Value.Space is aiming to support the insurance market: https://www.lloyds.com/news-and-insights/lloyds-lab/lloyds-lab-accelerator/alumni/value-space-case-study
It would seem that Value.Space is using historic and current commercially available satellite imagery, probably with machine-learning tools, to essentially look back in time for movement of structures, land, etc. But can they really be achieving sub-mm resolution, even of relative movement, rather than of absolute position? I believe the highest resolution of commercially available satellite imagery is about 15 cm. There are image processing techniques for sub-pixel resolution of movement, but I think those can achieve a factor of something like 10 in finer resolution, not 250 (15 cm / 0.6 mm).
Value.Space's website mentions dam monitoring, among other applications. @john-hamilton and other deformation monitoring experts: Is Value.Space doing something real, or are the claims exaggerated?
A few things going on here...
1. Deriving of measurements with greater precision that the tools themselves have is something we do every day when we turn multiple sets of angles or use network GPS
Mean Accuracy = Accuracy of single observation / Square Root of the Number of Observation.
5 m data observed 10,00 times can derive a 5 cm precision
2. InSAR data is well accepted for what it's good at: using hundreds to thousands of passes to estimate the location and movement of a feature with centimeter- or even millimeter-level precision, despite individual observations being much noisier.
Satellite deformation data can legitimately resolve millimeter-scale movement trends under the right conditions, but it is very easy for marketing language to make the output sound more precise, more spatially specific, and more defensible than it actually is.
With radar interferometry, especially Sentinel-1 InSAR, they are generally not locating a building corner in plan view to sub-millimeter precision. They are measuring change in radar phase between repeated passes over coherent radar targets. So, their reported precision is ground-resolution cell size, not the displacement precision inside the radar phase measurement. That is why InSAR can report millimeter-to-centimeter displacement ground displacement even though the imagery is not “survey-grade imagery” in the normal optical sense.
3. InSAR is a deformation measurement technology first and a monitoring technology second. For the NYC situation, the question is not: "Can InSAR measure millimeter movement?" That answer is often yes.
The real question is: "Can InSAR provide timely, reliable, engineering-grade warning of active building distress during a rapidly evolving construction event?" That's harder to believe. A satellite time series that has excellent historical coverage may still have very limited observations during the period that actually matters
4. I believe our YouTube engineering friend is using data derived for one purpose for another (which my 38 years of surveying has led me to believe is the subject of a 400-level semester class in most engineering programs), InSAR is an excellent tool to get: 10 years of historic movement for baselining and forensic construction but a poor tool to get 7-14 days of movement data.
5. A number of DOTs and other owners/agencies are turning to InSAR data for long term deformation and subsidence information. The underlying Sentinel-1 InSAR concept is real, and satellite deformation monitoring absolutely can detect millimeter-to-centimeter trends over time. But anyone presenting that data as millimeter building deformation as if it was equivalent to a conventional structural monitoring point. That deserves a very hard technical review.
I'm very interested in this as the company I currently manage in a portfolio of monitoring companies is to moving toward a 100% business model of monitoring movement based on the influence of on-site and adjacent construction. And the InSAR data is potentially a great source of some pre-construction baselining data. It's one of the reasons I'm going to Intergo in September
But if the owner of that building had come to me prior to the renovations, I would have proposed instrumenting the f**k out of it. A full array of vibration meters, tilt meters, accelerometers, and strain gauges would have been a lot cheaper than what they have to do now.
However, from a purely mercenary POV, this will probably do for building sensor deployment firms what the Seattle TBM thing did for monitoring subsidence when there is large scale dewatering adjacent $$$.
Mean Accuracy = Accuracy of single observation / Square Root of the Number of Observation.
Keep in mind this is NOT an absolute. In fact, it is the most abused formula in the surveying world. There is a point of diminishing returns where this falls completely apart. With RTK it stops being true around 20 seconds.
Where the disparity in the precision of the tool and the precision being sought or claimed is too great you will not see consistent improvement matching the formula. The 'improvement ' (better described as change) will be an unreliable 'stairstep'.
There is a point of diminishing returns where this falls completely apart. With RTK it stops being true around 20 seconds.
That's the point where you've resolved for random error but can't get rid of systemic error, right?
I would say that's the point where systemic error obscures the random, but we are on the same page. At some point you aren't making things better, you're just getting more bad data.. lol