This is a different source with a different "location". The 5 paths shown are the +/- in the time frame of the prediction. If you are not directly beneath one of these paths then you can sleep good tonight.
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Another way of looking at it, and probably a more accurate way, is looking at the path when the altitude is the least.
https://twitter.com/TSKelso/status/1391094251237175297/photo/1
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Perigee is now listed as 142.9 km (88.8 miles), down from 98 miles last evening. It will drop faster and faster until somewhere around 60-70 miles it will start its last pass.
The N2YO site is hard to get, as its server seems to be overloaded by requests for the page.
Live commentary
If it lands nearby I plan to take pictures of anything with writing on it that is still legible.?ÿ Probably will discover the famous symbol and the Chinese equivalent of "KILROY WAS HERE".
Maybe this is up to date. the graphics are cool.
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http://www.stuffin.space/?intldes=2021-035B&search=cz-5
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CZ-5B R/B
Perigee down to 135 km (84 miles)
The estimate I was watching got extended, now 9:03 pm Central Daylight time.
Various sites give different numbers.?ÿ One site says apogee was 173 km and another says current is 184 km, an obvious contradiction.
The site I linked above seems to lag slightly behind this one, which I interpret to have real-time altitude.?ÿ The booster seems to be near apogee, so I wouldn't look for it to come down until after perigee, which is later than the above post indicated.
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The ground track for what surely must be the last orbit grosses New Zealand, so if you are there take a look for possible fireballs.?ÿ Various predictions are past time to the next 20 minutes for the start of rapid descent.
The danger is minimal - there will be some pieces of metal dropping at terminal velocity of 100 to 200 mph, but no explosions, radioactivity, and probably no hydrazine.
Apparently it didn't make it that far.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/science/125074758/outofcontrol-chinese-rocket-lands-in-indian-ocean
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It turn out that T S Keslo of CelesTrak.com provided a very accurate prediction 6 orbits before it happened. I have no idea if it was his prediction, a team effort, or if he was just providing information from another source. Awesome website. I have it bookmarked.
edit, after reading thru the website, the predicted location came from 18th Space Control Squadron (18 SPCS)
It may have had some minor effect on the Maldives but, otherwise, picked an exceptionally fine place to hit Earth.?ÿ It should be a race to the splash site by divers who are set up for something at those depths.
It should be a race to the splash site by divers who are set up for something at those depths.
Is there anything about it worth recovering?
Excellent question.?ÿ Perhaps top secret Chinese solutions to incredibly tough Sudoku puzzles.?ÿ I don't know, but, somebody will search for it anyway.
About?ÿ71 percent?ÿof the Earth's surface is water-covered, and there are vast tracts of nearly uninhabited land where groundfall would be of no?ÿconsequence.?ÿ
The main problem concerning space junk is collision damage to other satellites. Spacefaring nations should step up to the plate and have deorbiting systems for boosters, etc., in place as part of their mission designs.?ÿ The Chinese are the worst of the space littering countries, they don't give a damn and should have their feet held to the fire.
Cripes! No wonder aliens won??t visit. Earth looks like a giant hair ball the cat hacked up. ?????ÿ
